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Inference for functional time series with applications to yield curves and intraday cumulative returns

dc.contributor.authorYoung, Gabriel J., author
dc.contributor.authorKokoszka, Piotr S., advisor
dc.contributor.authorMiao, Hong, committee member
dc.contributor.authorBreidt, F. Jay, committee member
dc.contributor.authorZhou, Wen, committee member
dc.date.accessioned2016-07-12T23:03:21Z
dc.date.available2016-07-12T23:03:21Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.description.abstractEconometric and financial data often take the form of a functional time series. Examples include yield curves, intraday price curves and term structure curves. Before an attempt is made to statistically model or predict such series, we must address whether or not such a series can be assumed stationary or trend stationary. We develop extensions of the KPSS stationarity test to functional time series. Motivated by the problem of a change in the mean structure of yield curves, we also introduce several change point methods applied to dynamic factor models. For all testing procedures, we include a complete asymptotic theory, a simulation study, illustrative data examples, as well as details of the numerical implementation of the testing procedures. The impact of scheduled macroeconomic announcements has been shown to account for sizable fractions of total annual realized stock returns. To assess this impact, we develop methods of derivative estimation which utilize a functional analogue of local-polynomial smoothing. The confidence bands are then used to find time intervals of statistically increasing cumulative returns.
dc.format.mediumborn digital
dc.format.mediumdoctoral dissertations
dc.identifierYoung_colostate_0053A_13597.pdf
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10217/173395
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherColorado State University. Libraries
dc.relation.ispartof2000-2019
dc.rightsCopyright and other restrictions may apply. User is responsible for compliance with all applicable laws. For information about copyright law, please see https://libguides.colostate.edu/copyright.
dc.titleInference for functional time series with applications to yield curves and intraday cumulative returns
dc.typeText
dcterms.rights.dplaThis Item is protected by copyright and/or related rights (https://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/). You are free to use this Item in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s).
thesis.degree.disciplineStatistics
thesis.degree.grantorColorado State University
thesis.degree.levelDoctoral
thesis.degree.nameDoctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.)

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