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The role of familiarity in illusions of prediction

dc.contributor.authorHuebert, Andrew M., author
dc.contributor.authorCleary, Anne M., advisor
dc.contributor.authorSeger, Carol A., committee member
dc.contributor.authorFolkestad, James E., committee member
dc.date.accessioned2020-06-22T11:52:54Z
dc.date.available2020-06-22T11:52:54Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.description.abstractSome researchers have argued that the ability to recall (or the recollection of specific details from the past), and the mechanisms involved in doing so, are also used in imagining and predicting future events. However, the ability to recall is only one facet of memory ability. Another is the ability to detect familiarity with stimuli that relate to previously experienced episodes. One might expect that recall is needed to predict future events, as recollection of what occurred in the past might enable prediction of what happens next in a current ongoing episode. However, research on déjà vu has shown a link between familiarity-detection and illusions of prediction and suggests a role of familiarity intensity in these illusions. The purpose of the present study was to examine the role of familiarity-detection more generally in illusory feelings of prediction and to explore possible mechanisms. Increasing cue familiarity led to a systematic increase in prediction confidence despite having little to no effect on prediction accuracy. These results did not differ according to whether the decision was past or future oriented. The results also did not differ according to whether the future oriented prediction was logically possible or irrational in nature.
dc.format.mediumborn digital
dc.format.mediummasters theses
dc.identifierHuebert_colostate_0053N_16016.pdf
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10217/208484
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherColorado State University. Libraries
dc.relation.ispartof2020-
dc.rightsCopyright and other restrictions may apply. User is responsible for compliance with all applicable laws. For information about copyright law, please see https://libguides.colostate.edu/copyright.
dc.subjectfamiliarity
dc.subjectmemory
dc.subjectrecognition
dc.subjectillusions
dc.subjectcognition
dc.subjectprediction
dc.titleThe role of familiarity in illusions of prediction
dc.typeText
dcterms.rights.dplaThis Item is protected by copyright and/or related rights (https://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/). You are free to use this Item in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s).
thesis.degree.disciplinePsychology
thesis.degree.grantorColorado State University
thesis.degree.levelMasters
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Science (M.S.)

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