Data associated with "Modeling U.S. cattle movements until the cows come home: who ships to whom and how many?"

Sellman, Stefan; Beck-Johnson, Lindsay; Hallman, Clayton; Miller, Ryan S.; Owers Bonner, Katharine A.; Portacci, Katie; Webb, Colleen T.; Lindström, Tom

Data associated with "Modeling U.S. cattle movements until the cows come home: who ships to whom and how many?"

dc.contributor.author	Sellman, Stefan
dc.contributor.author	Beck-Johnson, Lindsay
dc.contributor.author	Hallman, Clayton
dc.contributor.author	Miller, Ryan S.
dc.contributor.author	Owers Bonner, Katharine A.
dc.contributor.author	Portacci, Katie
dc.contributor.author	Webb, Colleen T.
dc.contributor.author	Lindström, Tom
dc.coverage.spatial	Contiguous United States	en_US
dc.coverage.temporal	2009	en_US
dc.date.accessioned	2021-12-13T18:53:38Z
dc.date.available	2021-12-13T18:53:38Z
dc.date.issued	2021
dc.description	Each file in each zipped folder represents a single simulated cattle shipment network among the counties of the contiguous United States, generated from the U.S. Animal Movement Model (USAMM) version 3. Files in the USAMM-BEEF folder describe shipment networks for beef production only. Files in the USAMM-DAIRY folder describe shipment networks for dairy production only. Each zipped folder contains 1000 files, representing 1000 shipment networks.	en_US
dc.description	Department of Biology
dc.description.abstract	Livestock movements between agricultural premises is an important pathway for the spread of infectious disease. Data providing details about the origin and destination of shipments, as well as information about the shipment size is an important component of computer models used to formulate mitigation strategies and design surveillance programs. The United States (U.S.) currently lacks a comprehensive database of farm animal shipments, which hinders such efforts. With the U.S. Animal Movement Model (USAMM), earlier work has successfully scaled up from limited data based on interstate certificates of veterinary inspection (CVI) to comprehensive county-level shipment networks at the national scale. In this work, we present three major improvements to earlier versions of USAMM: (1) increased resolution of the model and simulated networks to the level of individual premises; (2) predictions of shipment sizes; (3) taking into account the types and herd sizes of the premises. We fitted parameters in a Bayesian framework to two sets of CVI data consisting of sub-samples of one year's between-state beef and dairy shipments. Through posterior predictive simulation, we then created 1,000 synthetic beef and dairy networks, which we make publicly available to support livestock disease modeling. The simulated networks were validated against summary statistics of the training data as well as out-of-sample CVI data from subsequent years. This new development opens up the possibility of using USAMM in a broader spectrum of applications where information about shipment size and premises identity is necessary and gives novel insights into the U.S. cattle shipment network.	en_US
dc.description.sponsorship	This work is supported by funding provided by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate under contract number D15PC00278. The findings and conclusions in this preliminary publication have not been formally disseminated by the US Department of Agriculture and should not be construed to represent any agency determination or policy. The analyses, views and conclusions contained in this document are those of the authors and should not be interpreted as necessarily representing the regulatory opinions, official policies, either expressed or implied, of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security.	en_US
dc.format.medium	ZIP
dc.format.medium	TXT
dc.identifier.uri	https://hdl.handle.net/10217/234115
dc.identifier.uri	http://dx.doi.org/10.25675/10217/234115
dc.language	English	en_US
dc.language.iso	eng	en_US
dc.publisher	Colorado State University. Libraries	en_US
dc.relation.ispartof	Research Data
dc.relation.isreferencedby	Sellman, S., Beck-Johnson, L. M., Hallman, C., Miller, R. S., Owers Bonner, K. A., Portacci, K., Webb, C. T., Lindström, T., 2022. Modeling U.S. cattle movements until the cows come home: Who ships to whom and how many? Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 203, 107483. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2022.107483
dc.subject	animal movement	en_US
dc.subject	network prediction	en_US
dc.subject	cattle	en_US
dc.title	Data associated with "Modeling U.S. cattle movements until the cows come home: who ships to whom and how many?"	en_US
dc.type	Dataset	en_US