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Assessment of potential impacts of climate change on the integrity and maintenance costs of simply supported steel girder bridges in the United States

dc.contributor.authorPalu, Susan Mayumi Kock, author
dc.contributor.authorMahmoud, Hussam, advisor
dc.contributor.authorAtadero, Rebecca, committee member
dc.contributor.authorSenior, Bolivar, committee member
dc.date.accessioned2020-01-13T16:41:31Z
dc.date.available2021-01-07T16:41:53Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.description.abstractBridges in America are aging and deteriorating, causing substantial financial strain on federal resources and taxpayers' money. Amid several deterioration issues affecting bridges one of the most common and costly is malfunction and deterioration of expansion joints, due to accumulation of road debris between joints, traffic, and weather. Clogged joints in particular prevent the superstructure from expanding when subject to a temperature increase, giving rise to thermal stresses that are not accounted for during the design phase. These additional demands, in the form of combined axial loads and moments, are expected to even worsen considering potential future changes in climate. Herein, a new framework is developed to assess structural vulnerability and estimate maintenance costs for approximately 80,000 simply supported steel girder bridges across the U.S. The approach aims to aid in establishing a priority order for bridge maintenance and offer insights on how to better allocate funds for a large inventory of bridges. The structural vulnerability is quantified in terms of the reduced capacity resulting from axial load and moment interaction on the girder-slab composite. The projected daily maximum temperatures for future years of 2040, 2060, 2080 and 2100 were processed from the coupled climate model GFDL CM3 under three climate scenarios: RCP 2.6, RCP 6.0 and RCP 8.5. The results showed that the most critical regions for all climate scenarios are: Northern Rockies & Plains, Northwest, Upper Midwest and West. In contrast, the less susceptible regions are the Southeast followed by the Northeast. In addition to vulnerability, life cycle cost analysis was conducted considering the evolution of structural condition of each asset along the years through the interaction equation. The results showed that savings on the order of $4.5 billion could be attained when vulnerability-informed maintenance practice is followed as opposed to its conventional counterpart. It was observed that the climate scenario RCP 2.6, which represents greater efforts to reduce anthropogenic climate change, resulted in the smallest maintenance cost. Moderate efforts over emissions RCP 6.0 implies a $600 million increase, while no intervention under RCP 8.5 results in an additional $2 billion cost over the long term.
dc.format.mediumborn digital
dc.format.mediummasters theses
dc.identifierPalu_colostate_0053N_15716.pdf
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10217/199750
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherColorado State University. Libraries
dc.relation.ispartof2000-2019
dc.rightsCopyright and other restrictions may apply. User is responsible for compliance with all applicable laws. For information about copyright law, please see https://libguides.colostate.edu/copyright.
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectinfrastructure vulnerability
dc.subjectbridges
dc.subjectlife cycle cost analysis
dc.subjectexpansion joints
dc.titleAssessment of potential impacts of climate change on the integrity and maintenance costs of simply supported steel girder bridges in the United States
dc.typeText
dcterms.embargo.expires2021-01-07
dcterms.embargo.terms2021-01-07
dcterms.rights.dplaThis Item is protected by copyright and/or related rights (https://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/). You are free to use this Item in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s).
thesis.degree.disciplineCivil and Environmental Engineering
thesis.degree.grantorColorado State University
thesis.degree.levelMasters
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Science (M.S.)

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