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Analysis of future discharge in Nakdong River Basin according to effect on climate change

Date

2012

Authors

Shin, Hyun Suk, author
Kim, Mi Eun, author
Im, Ji Ye, author
Shon, Tae Seok, author
Colorado State University, publisher

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Abstract

Climate change has affected water resources and environment all over the world and its impacts assessment and adaptation are very important issues that are significant in terms of science and policies. In view of water resources, estimation of discharge is essential to make basic data in watershed management and water environment like flood and drought. The change of discharge has affected both eco-system and human system. So that, using technical methods are necessary to develop nature restoration and disaster reduction. Therefore, this study applied to GCMs (General Circulation Models) using A1B scenario which reflects climate characteristics of Korea well and analyze out the future climate change discharge. The main result of these studies is compared and analyzed at Nakdong River basin about discharge by A1B scenario. The study period (2011~2100) was divided into three periods (F1:2011~2040, F2:2041~2070, F3:2071~2100) and compared with observed data for 1980~2009. This study presents technical methodology for assessing influence on water environment resources. Furthermore, the results of this study expect to be quantitative and reliable data in studying climate change throughout the application to other rivers. If water environment impact assessment and analysis of the future water balance including a forecast of water supply and demand take place based on the results of this study, the results will be sufficiently valuable both as researches on national measures to climate change and policy materials.

Description

2012 annual AGU hydrology days was held at Colorado State University on March 21 - March 23, 2012.
Includes bibliographical references.

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