Jumps in oil prices: the role of economic news
Date
2012-12
Authors
Elder, John, author
Miao, Hong, author
Ramchander, Sanjay, author
The Energy Journal, publisher
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Abstract
Previous research has been unable to identify a strong link between crude oil prices and economic news. We reexamine this relationship using high frequency intraday data and relatively new methodology to estimate jumps in oil prices. We find a surprisingly strong correspondence between high frequency jumps in oil prices and the arrival of new economic information, with the largest jumps tending to be preceded identifiable economic news. These results indicate that oil prices respond very rapidly to new economic data in ways that appear consistent with economic theory, and also suggest that economic news, rather than speculation unrelated to the economic environment, drives jumps in oil prices.
Description
Includes bibliographical references (pages 20-22).
Published as: The Energy Journal, 1 vol.34, no. 3, pp.217-237, January 2013, https://doi.org/10.5547/01956574.34.3.10.
Published as: The Energy Journal, 1 vol.34, no. 3, pp.217-237, January 2013, https://doi.org/10.5547/01956574.34.3.10.
Rights Access
Subject
oil
jumps
macroeconomic news announcements