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    Ensemble-based analysis of Front Range severe convection on 6-7 June 2012: forecast uncertainty and communication of weather information to Front Range decision-makers

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    http://hdl.handle.net/10217/82539
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    Abstract
    The variation of topography in Colorado not only adds to the beauty of its landscape, but also tests our ability to predict warm season severe convection. Deficient radar coverage and limited observations make quantitative precipitation forecasting quite a challenge. Past studies have suggested that greater forecast skill of mesoscale convection initiation and precipitation characteristics are achievable considering an ensemble with explicitly predicted convection compared to one that has parameterized convection. The range of uncertainty and probabilities in these forecasts can help forecasters ...
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    Author(s)
    Vincente, Vanessa

    Advisor(s)
    Schumacher, Russ

    Date Issued
    2014
    Format
    born digital; masters theses
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    • 2000-2019 - CSU Theses and Dissertations
    • Theses and Dissertations - Department of Atmospheric Science

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