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Investment timing with regime switching

Date

2008-01-17

Authors

Elliott, Robert J., author
Miao, Hong, author
Yu, Jin, author
International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, publisher

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Abstract

We investigate the optimal investment timing strategy in a real option framework. Depending on the state of the economy, whose changes are modeled by a Markov chain, the investment cost can take one of two values. The optimal investment timing decision is determined by finding the free boundary of a perpetual American option. Three investment timing policies, based on different assumptions of investors' information sets, are determined and compared. In the full information case, a significantly earlier optimal exercising time is indicated. We show that an optimal-timing policy suggested by the conventional real option model might ruin the investment opportunities.

Description

Includes bibliographical references (pages 29-31).
Published as: International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 443-463, 2009, https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219024909005361.

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Subject

regime switching
real option
investment timing

Citation

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