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Evaluating covariance-based geostatistical methods with bed-scale outcrop statistics conditioning for reproduction of intra-point bar facies architecture, Cretaceous Horseshoe Canyon Formation, Alberta, Canada

Date

2022

Authors

McCarthy, Andrew Louis, author
Stright, Lisa, advisor
Ronayne, Michael, committee member
Bailey, Ryan, committee member

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Abstract

Geostatistical characterization of petroleum reservoirs typically suffers from problems of sparse data, and modelers often draw key parameters from analogous outcrop, numerical, and experimental studies to improve predictions. While quantitative information (bed-scale statistical distributions) from outcrop studies is available, translating the data from outcrop to models and generating geologically-realistic realizations with available geostatistical algorithms is often problematic. The overarching goal of this thesis is to test the capacity of covariance-based geostatistical methods to reproduce intra-point bar facies architecture while guiding those algorithms with bed-scale outcrop statistics from the Late Cretaceous Horseshoe Canyon Formation in southeastern Alberta. First, general facies architecture reproduction is tested with 2- and 3-facies synthetic and outcrop-based experiments with variable hard data, soft data weight, and soft data reliability. Next, 3-D sector models compare performance of different geostatistical simulation methods: sequential / co-sequential indicator, plurigaussian, and nested truncated gaussian. Findings show that despite integration of outcrop statistics, all conventional covariance-based geostatistical algorithms struggle to reproduce complex facies architecture that is observed in outcrop. Specifically, problems arise with: 1) low-proportion facies and 2) a weak statistical relationship between hard data (measured sections) and soft data (probability models). Nested modeling partially mitigates low-proportion issues and performs better as a result.

Description

Zip file contains 2 packages of code including Power Point files describing the run procedures.

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Subject

Horseshoe Canyon formation
geostatistics
reservoir modeling

Citation

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